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cise for which time is required。〃
〃But if we wait over four months…how can we be assured of strategic surprise？〃 Alekseyev demanded。
〃Our political leadership has promised it。〃
〃The year I entered Frunze Academy； the Party told us the date on which we would surely have 'True munism in our lifetime。' A solemn promise。 That date was six years ago。〃
〃Such talk is safe with me； Pasha； I understand you。 But if you do not learn to control your tongue…〃
〃Forgive me； rade General。 We must allow for the chance that surprise will not be achieved。 'In bat； despite the most careful preparation； risks cannot be avoided；〃' Alekseyev quoted from the syllabus of the Frunze Academy。 〃 'Attention must therefore be given； and the most detailed plans prepared； for every reasonable exigency of the overall operation。 For this reason； the unsung life of a staff officer is among the most demanding of those honored to serve the State。〃'
〃You have the memory of a kulak； Pasha。〃 CINC…Southwest laughed； filling his deputy's glass with Georgian wine。 〃But you are correct。〃
〃Failure to achieve surprise means that we are forcing a campaign of attrition on a vast scale； a high…technology version of the '14…'18 war。〃
〃Which we will win。〃 CINC…Ground sat down next to Alekseyev。
〃Which we will win；〃 Alekseyev agreed。 All Soviet generals accepted the premise that the inability to force a rapid decision would force a bloody war of attrition that would grind each side down equally。 The Soviets had far more reserves of men and material with which to fight such a war。 And the political will to use them。 〃If and only if we are able to force the pace of battle； and if our friends in the Navy can prevent the resupply of NATO from America。 NATO has war stocks of material to sustain them for roughly five weeks。 Our pretty； expensive fleet must close the Atlantic。〃
〃Maslov。〃 Rozhkov beckoned to the mander…in…Chief of the Soviet Navy。 〃We wish to hear your opinion of the correlation of forces in the North Atlantic。〃
〃Our mission？〃 Maslov asked warily。
〃If we fail to achieve surprise in the West； Andrey Petravich； it will be necessary for our beloved rades in the Navy to isolate Europe from America；〃 Rozhkov pronounced。 He blinked hard at the response。
〃Give me a division of airborne troops； and I can fulfill that task；〃 Maslov responded soberly。 He held a glass of mineral water； and had been careful to avoid drink on this cold February night。 〃The question is whether our strategic stance at sea should be offensive or defensive。 The NATO navies…above all the United States Navy…is a direct threat to the Rodina。 It alone has the aircraft and aircraft carriers with which to attack the homeland； at the Kola Peninsula。 In fact； we know that they have plans to do exactly that。〃
〃So what？〃 CINC…Southwest observed。 〃No attack on Soviet soil is to be taken lightly； of course； but we will take severe losses in this campaign no matter how brilliantly we fight it。 What matters is the final oute。〃
〃If the Americans succeed in attacking Kola； they effectively prevent our closure of the North Atlantic。 And you are wrong to shrug off these attacks。 American entry into the Barents Sea will constitute a direct threat to our nuclear deterrent forces； and could have more dire consequences than you imagine。〃 Admiral Maslov leaned forward。 〃On the other hand； if you persuade STAVKA to give us the resources to execute Operation Polar Glory； we can seize the bat initiative and dictate the nature of operations in the North Atlantic on our chosen terms。 He held up a closed fist。 〃By doing this we can； first〃…he raised a finger…〃prevent an American navel attack against the Rodina； second〃…another finger…〃use the majority of our submarine forces in the North Atlantic basin where the trade routes are； instead of keeping them on passive defense； and； third〃…a final finger…〃make maximum use of our naval aviation assets。 At one stroke this operation makes our fleet an offensive rather than a defensive weapon。〃
〃And to acplish this you need only one of our Guards Air Rifle divisions？ Outline your plan for us； please； rade Admiral；〃 Alekseyev said。
Maslov did so over a period of five minutes。 He concluded； 〃With luck； we will with one blow give the NATO navies more than they can deal with； and leave us with a valuable position for postwar exploitation。〃
〃Better to draw their carrier forces in and destroy them。〃 CINC…West joined the discussion。
Maslov responded： 〃The Americans will have five or six carriers available to use against us in the Atlantic。 Each one carries fifty…eight aircraft that can be used in an air superiority or nuclear strike role； aside from those used for fleet defense。 I submit； rade； that it is in our interest to keep those ships as far from the Rodina as possible。〃
〃Andrey Petravich； I am impressed；〃 Rozhkov said thoughtfully； noting the respect in Alekseyev's eye…； as well。 Polar Glory was both bold and simple。 〃I want a full briefing on this plan tomorrow afternoon。 You say that if we can allocate the resources； success in this venture is highly probable？〃
〃We have worked on this plan for five years； with particular emphasis on simplicity。 If security can be maintained； only two things need go right for success to be achieved。〃
Rozhkov nodded。 〃Then you will have my support。〃
4 … Maskirovka
MOSCOW； R。S。F。S。R。
The Foreign Minister entered stage left； as he always did； and walked to the lectern with a brisk step that belied his sixty years。 Before him was a mob of reporters arrayed by the Soviet Guards into their respective groups； the print press grasping at their pads and backed up by their photographers； the visual media arrayed in front of their portable klieg lights。 The Foreign Minister hated the damned things； hated the people in front of them。 The Western press with its lack of manners； always prying； always probing； always demanding answers that he need not give to his own people。 How odd； he thought； while looking up from his notes； that he often had to speak more openly to these paid foreign spies than to members of the Party Central mittee。 Spies； exactly what they were 。 。 。
They could be manipulated； of course； by a skilled man with a collection of carefully prepared disinformation…which was precisely what he was about to do。 But on the whole they were a threat because they never stopped doing what it was they did。 It was something the Foreign Minister never allowed himself to forget； and the reason he did not hold them in contempt。 Dealing with them always held potential danger。 Even while being manipulated； they could be dangerous in their quest for information。 If only the rest of the Politburo understood。
〃Ladies and gentlemen；〃 he began； speaking in English。 〃I will be making a brief statement； and I regret that I cannot answer any questions at this time。 A full handout will be given to everyone as you leave…that is； I think they are ready by now…〃 He gestured to a man at the back of the room； who nodded emphatically。 The Foreign Minister arranged his papers one more time and began to speak with the precise diction for which he was known。
〃The President of the United States has often asked for 'deeds not words' in the quest for control of strategic arms。
〃As you know； and to the disappointment of the entire world； the ongoing arms negotiations in Vienna have made no significant progress for over a year； with each side blaming the other for the lack of it。
〃It is well known by peace…loving people the world over that the Soviet Union has never wished for war； and that only a madman would even consider nuclear war a viable policy option in our modern world of overkill； fallout； and 'nuclear winter。' 〃
〃Damn；〃 muttered AP bureau chief Patrick Flynn。 The Soviets scarcely acknowledged 〃nuclear winter〃 and had never mentioned the concept in so formal a setting。 His antennae were already twitching at whatever there was in the wind。
〃The time has e for substantive reductions in strategic arms。 We have made numerous； serious； sincere proposals for real arms reductions； and despite this the United States has proceeded with the development and deployment of its destabilizing； openly offensive weapons： the MX first…strike missile； so cynically called the 'Peacekeeper'； the advanced Trident D…5 first…strike sea…launched ballistic missile； two separate varieties of cruise missiles whose characteristics conspire to make arms control verification almost totally impossible； and of course； the so…called Strategic Defense Initiative； which will take offensive strategic weapons into space。 Such are America's deeds。〃 He looked up from his notes and spoke with irony。 〃And through it all； America's pious words demand Soviet deeds。
〃Starting tomorrow； we will see once and for all if America's words are to be believed or not。 Starting tomorrow we will see how great a difference there is between America's words about peace and Soviet deeds for peace。
〃Tomorrow； the Soviet Union will put on the table at Vienna a proposal to reduce existing arsenals of strategic and theater nuclear weapons by fifty percent； this reduction to be acplished over a period of three years from ratification of the agreement； subject to on…site verification conducted by third…party inspection teams whose position will be agreed upon by all signatories。
〃Please note that I say 'all signatories。' The Soviet Union invites the United Kingdom； the French Republic； and〃…he looked up〃the People's Republic of China to join us at the negotiating table。〃 The explosion of flashbulbs caused him to look away for a moment。
〃Ladies and gentlemen； please…〃 He smiled； holding his hand up to shield his face。 〃These old eyes are not up to such abuse as this； and I have not memorized my speech…unless you want me to continue in Russian！〃
There was a wave of laughter； then a sprinkling of applause at the jibe。 The old bastard was really turning on the charm； Flynn thought； furiously taking notes。 This was potential dynamite。 He wondered what would e next； and he especially wondered what the precise wording on the proposal was。 Flynn had covered arms talks before； and knew all too well that general descriptions of proposals could grossly distort the nuts…and…bolts details of the real issues to be negotiated。 The Russians couldn't be this open…they just couldn't be。
〃To proceed。〃 The Foreign Minister blinked his eyes clear。 〃We have been accused of never making a gesture of our good faith。 The falsehood of the charge is manifest； but this evil fiction continues in the West。 No longer。 No longer will anyone have cause to doubt the sincerity of the Soviet people's quest for a just and lasting peace。
〃Beginning today； as a sign of good faith which we challenge the United States and any other interested nation to match； the Soviet Union will remove from service an entire class of nuclear…powered missile submarine。 These submarines are known to the West as the Yankee class。 We call them something else； of course；〃 he said with an ingenuous grin that drew another wave of polite laughter。 〃Twenty of the vessels are presently in service； each carrying twelve sea…launched ballistic missiles。 All active members of the class are assigned to the Soviet Northern Fleet based on the Kola Peninsula。 Beginning today； we will deactivate these vessels at a rate of one per month。 As you know； plete deactivation of so plex a machine as a missile submarine requires the services of a shipyard…the missile partment must be physically removed from the body of the vessel…and so these vessels cannot be fully disarmed overnight。 However； to make the honesty of our intentions undeniable； we invite the United States to do one of two things：
〃First； we will permit a selected team of six American naval officers to inspect these twenty vessels to verify that their missiles tubes have been filled with concrete ballast pending removal of the entire missile rooms from all of the submarines。 In return for this； we would require that a parable inspection visit by an equal number of Soviet officers to American yards would be allowed at a later date to be agreed on。
〃Second； as an alternative should the United States be unwilling to allow reciprocal verification of arms reductions； we will permit another group of six officers to perform this service； these offic